Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.038123 0.041160 0.044348 0.047948 0.051907 0.056134 0.060997
2025-04-27 0.033647 0.037998 0.042819 0.048579 0.055301 0.062930 0.072292
2025-05-04 0.030174 0.035225 0.041052 0.048315 0.057188 0.067754 0.081403
2025-05-11 0.027645 0.033139 0.039687 0.048136 0.058856 0.072144 0.090081
2025-05-18 0.025593 0.031368 0.038440 0.047840 0.060160 0.075975 0.098169
2025-05-25 0.023980 0.029967 0.037477 0.047724 0.061552 0.079875 0.106521
2025-06-01 0.022367 0.028423 0.036179 0.047008 0.062001 0.082436 0.113121
2025-06-08 0.020884 0.026935 0.034830 0.046079 0.062020 0.084314 0.118793
2025-06-15 0.019743 0.025821 0.033890 0.045612 0.062597 0.086946 0.125700
2025-06-22 0.018740 0.024827 0.033039 0.045187 0.063161 0.089538 0.132688
2025-06-29 0.017689 0.023704 0.031936 0.044313 0.062973 0.090946 0.137872
2025-07-06 0.017170 0.023292 0.031800 0.044822 0.064857 0.095602 0.148633
2025-07-13 0.016515 0.022659 0.031323 0.044802 0.065945 0.099115 0.157873
2025-07-20 0.016074 0.022312 0.031237 0.045359 0.067956 0.104235 0.170323
2025-07-27 0.015446 0.021656 0.030657 0.045110 0.068647 0.107216 0.179255
2025-08-03 0.014886 0.021074 0.030154 0.044944 0.069444 0.110404 0.188824
2025-08-10 0.014340 0.020485 0.029608 0.044671 0.070031 0.113248 0.197986
2025-08-17 0.013871 0.019993 0.029184 0.044564 0.070877 0.116585 0.208381
2025-08-24 0.013302 0.019322 0.028450 0.043905 0.070722 0.118100 0.215308
2025-08-31 0.012725 0.018614 0.027626 0.043049 0.070165 0.118828 0.220688
2025-09-07 0.012276 0.018091 0.027073 0.042619 0.070329 0.120891 0.229000
2025-09-14 0.011862 0.017605 0.026560 0.042228 0.070532 0.123026 0.237650
2025-09-21 0.011385 0.017001 0.025829 0.041423 0.069925 0.123551 0.242841